Israel may be only a tiny sliver along China’s Silk Road Economic Belt. But here’s how both countries’ strategies can align.
Why did US intelligence fail to anticipate Iran’s Revolution? Resistance to change and reform in intelligence organizations is everywhere, and the United States is hardly immune to the problem. Yet, it is this same seemingly inconsequential inertia that also ultimately allows history to repeat itself.
IHS Jane’s Intelligence Review, 23 Sept 2016
The Perks and Pitfalls of Joining China’s Security Club.
This monograph examines post-revolutionary Iran’s grand strategy by way of its ‘adjustments’ at three key inflection points, adopting Neoclassical Realism as a theoretical framework to structure the narrative. The author concludes that while Iran’s leaders have over the decades proven the capacity to both reconcile ends and means, and identify and respond to grand strategic threats and opportunities, they have ultimately yet to transcend the vicious circle of self-manufactured challenges.
To understand the Islamic Republic, look not at its consistencies but at its adjustments.
China views Iran as a central element in its much-touted Silk Road Economic Belt, which aims to extend Beijing’s influence overland through Central Asia to the Persian Gulf and Europe.