Why The United States Was Caught Off-Guard On Iran

Why did US intelligence fail to anticipate Iran’s Revolution? Resistance to change and reform in intelligence organizations is everywhere, and the United States is hardly immune to the problem. Yet, it is this same seemingly inconsequential inertia that also ultimately allows history to repeat itself.

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Big Data and Strategic Intelligence

Big Data analytics is best used to discern long-term developments, generate intelligence hypotheses, and adduce refuting facts. But Big Data should also continue to complement traditional subject-matter expertise, supported by game theory, as part of a tripartite analytical framework for strategic intelligence consisting of ‘subtext’, ‘context’ and ‘metatext’.